Tehnološki, ekonomski i strateški aspekti projekta povećanje kapaciteta terminala za UPP

master's thesis

• Title: Tehnološki, ekonomski i strateški aspekti projekta povećanje kapaciteta terminala za UPP : diplomski rad
• Title (english): Technological, economic and strategic aspects for the project of increasing the capacity of LNG terminal : master's thesis
• Author: Borna Oreč
• Mentor: Daria Karasalihović Sedlar (mentor)
• Mentor: Ivan Smajla (pomoć pri izradi, neposredni voditelj)
• Committee member: Daria Karasalihović Sedlar (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Luka Perković (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Tomislav Kurevija (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Mining, Geology and Petroleum Engineering; (Department of Petroleum and Gas Engineering and energy); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2024-02-16, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: TECHNICAL SCIENCES; Mining, Petroleum and Geology Engineering; Petroleum Mining

Abstract

Povećanje kapaciteta terminala za ukapljeni prirodni plin (UPP) u Hrvatskoj ključan je odgovor na energetsku krizu izazvanu padom izvoza ruskog plina u Europu 2022. godine. Projekt proširenja terminala na otoku Krku usmjeren je na smanjenje ovisnosti Europe o uvozu energije i poticanje regionalne suradnje. Tehnološki aspekti projekta uključuju modernizaciju FSRU broda "LNG Croatia" i dodavanje nove jedinice za uplinjavanje, čime se kapacitet terminala povećava s 2,9 na 6,1 mlrd. m³/god. Ove nadogradnje omogućavaju efikasniju i fleksibilniju opskrbu plinom, uz minimalni ekološki utjecaj. Ekonomski, projekt predstavlja značajnu investiciju s dugoročnim pozitivnim učincima na nacionalno gospodarstvo. Financijska analiza projekta pokazuje da je projekt isplativ, s pozitivnom neto sadašnjom vrijednošću (NPV) i internom stopom povrata (IRR). Analiza osjetljivosti ukazuje na to da promjene u kapitalnim i operativnim troškovima, kao i promjene u zakupljenosti kapaciteta terminala, mogu značajno utjecati na financijsku održivost projekta. Strateški, proširenje kapaciteta terminala za UPP i povezane infrastrukture ključno je za osiguranje energetske sigurnosti i diversifikacije izvora energije u regiji. Projekt je povezan s inicijativama poput REPowerEU i nacionalnih planova oporavka i otpornosti, te predstavlja važan korak prema smanjenju ovisnosti o ruskom plinu. Povećani kapaciteti i poboljšana infrastruktura omogućuju Hrvatskoj da postane regionalni lider u opskrbi prirodnim plinom, potičući suradnju i integraciju s susjednim zemljama. Proširenje kapaciteta terminala za UPP u Hrvatskoj predstavlja ključan odgovor na energetske izazove Europe. Projekt ne samo da povećava energetsku sigurnost Hrvatske, već i potiče ekonomski rast kroz investicije u infrastrukturu i tehnologiju, pružajući podršku susjednim zemljama u smanjenju njihove ovisnosti o tradicionalnim izvorima i rutama opskrbe energijom.

Abstract (english)

The expansion of the liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal capacity in Croatia is a key response to the energy crisis caused by the decline in Russian gas exports to Europe in 2022. The project to expand the terminal on the island of Krk is aimed at reducing Europe's dependence on energy imports and encouraging regional cooperation. The technological aspects of the project include the modernization of the FSRU ship "LNG Croatia" and the addition of a new regasification unit, increasing the terminal's capacity from 2.9 to 6.1 billion m³/year. These upgrades enable more efficient and flexible gas supply, with minimal environmental impact. Economically, the project represents a significant investment with long-term positive effects on the national economy. Financial analysis of the project shows that it is profitable, with a positive net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR). Sensitivity analysis indicates that changes in capital and operational costs, as well as changes in the capacity lease of the terminal, can significantly affect the financial sustainability of the project. Strategically, the expansion of the LNG terminal capacity and related infrastructure is crucial for ensuring energy security and diversifying energy sources in the region. The project is linked to initiatives such as REPowerEU and national recovery and resilience plans, and represents an important step towards reducing dependence on Russian gas. Increased capacities and improved infrastructure enable Croatia to become a regional leader in natural gas supply, encouraging cooperation and integration with neighboring countries. The expansion of the LNG terminal capacity in Croatia is a key response to the energy challenges of Europe. The project not only increases Croatia's energy security but also promotes economic growth through investments in infrastructure and technology, providing support to neighboring countries in reducing their dependence on traditional sources and supply routes of energy.

• Keywords: UPP; terminal za UPP; povećanje kapaciteta; modul; uplinjavanje; plin
• Keywords (english): LNG; terminal; natural gas; regasification; expansion; capacity
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:169:113211
• Study programme: Title: Petroleum engineering; specializations in: Petroleum engineering, Energy production and supply, Environmental protection in petroleum engineering; Course: Energy production and supply; Study programme type: university; Study level: graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra inženjer/inženjerka naftnog rudarstva (magistar/magistra inženjer/inženjerka naftnog rudarstva)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2024-02-28 09:01:22